2026 Week 11
James Madison at UConn
Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 5:00 PM UTC
Pratt & Whitney Stadium
James Madison
Sun Belt
- Record
- 3-0
- Rating
- 6.2
- National rank
- 50
- Proj. wins
- 9.3
- Playoff prob.
- 45%
UConn
FBS Independents
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- -5.2
- National rank
- 86
- Proj. wins
- 7.4
- Playoff prob.
- 2%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
James Madison
77%
UConn
23%
UConn 90% CI: 17% – 31% Δ rating 11.4
James Madison is the model's favorite at 77%. UConn has a 23% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.9 rating points baked in for UConn — venue-specific learned value (n=46 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
James Madison offense
41 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
UConn offense
31 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 5:00 PM UTC
- Venue
- Pratt & Whitney Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No