James Madison at UConn
Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 12:00 PM EST
GIE win probability
James Madison 84% Favorite
UConn 16% Underdog
James Madison is the model's favorite at 84%. UConn has a 16% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.3 rating points baked in for UConn — venue-specific learned value (n=44 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
James Madison offense
Higher fit 41 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
UConn offense
31 / 100 Style-neutral matchup