2026 Week 9
UConn at Air Force
Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 7:00 PM UTC
Falcon Stadium
UConn
FBS Independents
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- -5.2
- National rank
- 86
- Proj. wins
- 7.4
- Playoff prob.
- 2%
Air Force
Mountain West
- Record
- 1-1
- Rating
- -2.8
- National rank
- 81
- Proj. wins
- 6.4
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
UConn
36%
Air Force
64%
Air Force 90% CI: 55% – 72% Δ rating 2.4
Air Force is the model's favorite at 64%. UConn has a 36% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.4 rating points baked in for Air Force — venue-specific learned value (n=48 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
UConn offense
50 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Air Force offense
39 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 7:00 PM UTC
- Venue
- Falcon Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No