2026 Week 3 FINAL
North Texas at Texas State
Saturday, September 19, 2026 · 4:00 PM UTC
Bobcat Stadium (TX)
35
North Texas
Final
49
Texas State
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Texas | 7 | 21 | 0 | 7 | 35 |
| Texas State | 21 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 49 |
GIE pre-game call: Texas State at 63%. Hit.
Recaps
North Texas
American Athletic
- Record
- 1-2
- Rating
- -9.2
- National rank
- 105
- Proj. wins
- 5.5
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Texas State
Pac-12
- Record
- 1-2
- Rating
- -5.9
- National rank
- 91
- Proj. wins
- 4.8
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
North Texas
37%
Texas State
63%
Texas State 90% CI: 54% – 72% Δ rating 3.3
Texas State is the model's favorite at 63%. North Texas has a 37% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.1 rating points baked in for Texas State — venue-specific learned value (n=52 games).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, September 19, 2026 · 4:00 PM UTC
- Venue
- Bobcat Stadium (TX)
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No