2026 Week 2
Memphis at Boise State
Friday, September 11, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
Albertsons Stadium
Memphis
American Athletic
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 7.6
- National rank
- 39
- Proj. wins
- 7.6
- Playoff prob.
- 2%
Boise State
Pac-12
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 3.1
- National rank
- 64
- Proj. wins
- 6.0
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Memphis
56%
Boise State
44%
Boise State 90% CI: 35% – 53% Δ rating 4.5
Memphis is the model's favorite at 56%. Boise State has a 44% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.5 rating points baked in for Boise State — venue-specific learned value (n=58 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Memphis offense
39 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Boise State offense
36 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, September 11, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
- Venue
- Albertsons Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No