4thand4cast

Search the site.

Try , , or .

Powered by Pagefind

2026 Week 9 · Neutral site

Navy at Notre Dame

Friday, October 30, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT

Gillette Stadium

Navy
American Athletic
Record
0-0
Rating
6.2
National rank
46
Proj. wins
7.6
Playoff prob.
1%
Notre Dame
FBS Independents
Record
0-0
Rating
24.4
National rank
5
Proj. wins
10.1
Playoff prob.
94%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Navy
9%
Notre Dame
91%
Notre Dame 90% CI: 87% – 93% Δ rating 18.2

Notre Dame is the model's favorite at 91%. Navy has a 9% path. No home-field adjustment applied (neutral site).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Navy offense
19 / 100

Run offense vs. elite run defense — bad matchup

Notre Dame offense
38 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Forecast for neutral-site venues will arrive once the venues table ships (#53).

Game info

Kickoff
Friday, October 30, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
Venue
Gillette Stadium
Conference game
No
Neutral site
Yes

← Home