2026 Week 9 · Neutral site
Notre Dame at Navy
Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 4:00 PM UTC
Gillette Stadium
Notre Dame
FBS Independents
- Record
- 3-0
- Rating
- 26.7
- National rank
- 3
- Proj. wins
- 9.1
- Playoff prob.
- 58%
Navy
American Athletic
- Record
- 1-1
- Rating
- -2.3
- National rank
- 76
- Proj. wins
- 5.7
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Notre Dame
97%
Navy
3%
Navy 90% CI: 2% – 4% Δ rating 29.0
Notre Dame is the model's favorite at 97%. Navy has a 3% path. No home-field adjustment applied (neutral site).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Notre Dame offense
38 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Navy offense
19 / 100
Run offense vs. elite run defense — bad matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast for neutral-site venues will arrive once the venues table ships (#53).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 4:00 PM UTC
- Venue
- Gillette Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- Yes