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2026 Week 13 · Conference game

Washington at Oregon

Friday, November 27, 2026 · 11:00 PM CST

Autzen Stadium

Washington
Big Ten
Record
0-0
Rating
18.4
National rank
13
Proj. wins
7.9
Playoff prob.
33%
Oregon
Big Ten
Record
0-0
Rating
25.9
National rank
4
Proj. wins
9.3
Playoff prob.
92%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Washington
22%
Oregon
78%
Oregon 90% CI: 70% – 83% Δ rating 7.5

Oregon is the model's favorite at 78%. Washington has a 22% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.4 rating points baked in for Oregon — venue-specific learned value (n=55 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Washington offense
28 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Oregon offense
31 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.

Game info

Kickoff
Friday, November 27, 2026 · 11:00 PM CST
Venue
Autzen Stadium
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No

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