2026 Week 13 · Conference game
Michigan at Ohio State
Friday, November 27, 2026 · 11:00 PM CST
Ohio Stadium
Michigan
Big Ten
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 12.4
- National rank
- 25
- Proj. wins
- 6.7
- Playoff prob.
- 2%
Ohio State
Big Ten
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 30.1
- National rank
- 2
- Proj. wins
- 9.1
- Playoff prob.
- 99%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Michigan
6%
Ohio State
94%
Ohio State 90% CI: 92% – 96% Δ rating 17.7
Ohio State is the model's favorite at 94%. Michigan has a 6% path. Home-field adjustment of +4.8 rating points baked in for Ohio State — venue-specific learned value (n=66 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Michigan offense
24 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Ohio State offense
32 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, November 27, 2026 · 11:00 PM CST
- Venue
- Ohio Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No