2026 Week 13 · Conference game
Michigan at Ohio State
Saturday, November 28, 2026 · 5:00 PM UTC
Ohio Stadium
Michigan
Big Ten
- Record
- 3-0
- Rating
- 15.1
- National rank
- 21
- Proj. wins
- 7.9
- Playoff prob.
- 9%
Ohio State
Big Ten
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- 29.7
- National rank
- 1
- Proj. wins
- 6.6
- Playoff prob.
- 14%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Michigan
8%
Ohio State
92%
Ohio State 90% CI: 89% – 94% Δ rating 14.6
Ohio State is the model's favorite at 92%. Michigan has a 8% path. Home-field adjustment of +4.8 rating points baked in for Ohio State — venue-specific learned value (n=66 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Michigan offense
24 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Ohio State offense
32 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 28, 2026 · 5:00 PM UTC
- Venue
- Ohio Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No