Conference game
Nebraska at Iowa
Friday, November 27, 2026 · 12:00 PM EST
GIE win probability
Nebraska 38% Underdog
Iowa 62% Favorite
Iowa is the model's favorite at 62%. Nebraska has a 38% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.8 rating points baked in for Iowa — venue-specific learned value (n=60 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Nebraska offense
32 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
Iowa offense
Higher fit 40 / 100 Style-neutral matchup