2026 Week 11 · Conference game
Illinois at UCLA
Friday, November 13, 2026 · 11:00 PM CST
Rose Bowl
Illinois
Big Ten
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 12.9
- National rank
- 24
- Proj. wins
- 7.8
- Playoff prob.
- 4%
UCLA
Big Ten
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -8.7
- National rank
- 98
- Proj. wins
- 3.9
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Illinois
92%
UCLA
8%
UCLA 90% CI: 6% – 11% Δ rating 21.6
Illinois is the model's favorite at 92%. UCLA has a 8% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.2 rating points baked in for UCLA — venue-specific learned value (n=60 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Illinois offense
39 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
UCLA offense
34 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, November 13, 2026 · 11:00 PM CST
- Venue
- Rose Bowl
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No