Conference game
Illinois at UCLA
Friday, November 13, 2026 · 9:00 PM EST
GIE win probability
Illinois 21% Underdog
UCLA 79% Favorite
UCLA is the model's favorite at 79%. Illinois has a 21% path. Home-field adjustment of +-1.5 rating points baked in for UCLA — venue-specific night-game value (n=59 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Illinois offense
Higher fit 39 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
UCLA offense
34 / 100 Style-neutral matchup