2026 Week 11 · Conference game
Illinois at UCLA
Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 2:00 AM UTC
Rose Bowl
Illinois
Big Ten
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- 11.1
- National rank
- 33
- Proj. wins
- 6.3
- Playoff prob.
- 2%
UCLA
Big Ten
- Record
- 3-0
- Rating
- 9.0
- National rank
- 40
- Proj. wins
- 8.3
- Playoff prob.
- 18%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Illinois
50%
UCLA
50%
UCLA 90% CI: 41% – 60% Δ rating 2.1
UCLA is the model's favorite at 50%. Illinois has a 50% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.2 rating points baked in for UCLA — venue-specific learned value (n=60 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Illinois offense
39 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
UCLA offense
34 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 2:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Rose Bowl
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No