Conference game
Washington at Michigan State
Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 4:15 PM EST
GIE win probability
Washington 78% Favorite
Michigan State 22% Underdog
Washington is the model's favorite at 78%. Michigan State has a 22% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.2 rating points baked in for Michigan State — venue-specific learned value (n=58 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Washington offense
Higher fit 39 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
Michigan State offense
32 / 100 Style-neutral matchup