2026 Week 11 · Conference game
Purdue at Iowa
Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
Kinnick Stadium
Purdue
Big Ten
- Record
- 1-2
- Rating
- -2.1
- National rank
- 75
- Proj. wins
- 3.9
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Iowa
Big Ten
- Record
- 3-0
- Rating
- 17.3
- National rank
- 18
- Proj. wins
- 8.1
- Playoff prob.
- 23%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Purdue
6%
Iowa
94%
Iowa 90% CI: 92% – 96% Δ rating 19.4
Iowa is the model's favorite at 94%. Purdue has a 6% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.7 rating points baked in for Iowa — venue-specific learned value (n=62 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Purdue offense
33 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Iowa offense
43 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Kinnick Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No