2026 Week 9 · Conference game
Illinois at Maryland
Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
SECU Stadium
Illinois
Big Ten
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- 11.1
- National rank
- 33
- Proj. wins
- 6.3
- Playoff prob.
- 2%
Maryland
Big Ten
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- 7.9
- National rank
- 43
- Proj. wins
- 6.7
- Playoff prob.
- 3%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Illinois
61%
Maryland
39%
Maryland 90% CI: 31% – 49% Δ rating 3.2
Illinois is the model's favorite at 61%. Maryland has a 39% path. Home-field adjustment of +-0.2 rating points baked in for Maryland — venue-specific learned value (n=54 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Illinois offense
39 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Maryland offense
36 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- SECU Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No