2026 Week 9 · Conference game
Illinois at Maryland
Friday, October 30, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
SECU Stadium
Illinois
Big Ten
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 12.9
- National rank
- 24
- Proj. wins
- 7.8
- Playoff prob.
- 4%
Maryland
Big Ten
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 0.6
- National rank
- 75
- Proj. wins
- 5.5
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Illinois
83%
Maryland
17%
Maryland 90% CI: 13% – 23% Δ rating 12.3
Illinois is the model's favorite at 83%. Maryland has a 17% path. Home-field adjustment of +-0.2 rating points baked in for Maryland — venue-specific learned value (n=54 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Illinois offense
39 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Maryland offense
36 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, October 30, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
- Venue
- SECU Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No