2026 Week 8 · Conference game
Michigan State at UCLA
Saturday, October 24, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Rose Bowl
Michigan State
Big Ten
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- 2.3
- National rank
- 65
- Proj. wins
- 6.1
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
UCLA
Big Ten
- Record
- 3-0
- Rating
- 9.0
- National rank
- 40
- Proj. wins
- 8.3
- Playoff prob.
- 18%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Michigan State
25%
UCLA
75%
UCLA 90% CI: 68% – 82% Δ rating 6.7
UCLA is the model's favorite at 75%. Michigan State has a 25% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.2 rating points baked in for UCLA — venue-specific learned value (n=60 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Michigan State offense
39 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
UCLA offense
40 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 24, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Rose Bowl
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No