2026 Week 8 · Conference game
Michigan State at UCLA
Friday, October 23, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
Rose Bowl
Michigan State
Big Ten
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -3.4
- National rank
- 82
- Proj. wins
- 4.2
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
UCLA
Big Ten
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -8.7
- National rank
- 98
- Proj. wins
- 3.9
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Michigan State
59%
UCLA
41%
UCLA 90% CI: 32% – 50% Δ rating 5.3
Michigan State is the model's favorite at 59%. UCLA has a 41% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.2 rating points baked in for UCLA — venue-specific learned value (n=60 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Michigan State offense
39 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
UCLA offense
40 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, October 23, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
- Venue
- Rose Bowl
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No