2026 Week 6 · Conference game
Iowa at Washington
Saturday, October 10, 2026 · 1:00 AM UTC
Husky Stadium
Iowa
Big Ten
- Record
- 3-0
- Rating
- 17.3
- National rank
- 18
- Proj. wins
- 8.1
- Playoff prob.
- 23%
Washington
Big Ten
- Record
- 3-0
- Rating
- 12.8
- National rank
- 27
- Proj. wins
- 7.6
- Playoff prob.
- 10%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Iowa
58%
Washington
42%
Washington 90% CI: 34% – 52% Δ rating 4.5
Iowa is the model's favorite at 58%. Washington has a 42% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.1 rating points baked in for Washington — venue-specific learned value (n=57 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Iowa offense
29 / 100
Run offense vs. elite run defense — bad matchup
Washington offense
32 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Conditions
Clear
Temperature
58°F
Precipitation
16%
Wind
4 mph
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 10, 2026 · 1:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Husky Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No