2026 Week 6 · Conference game
Minnesota at Purdue
Saturday, October 10, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Ross-Ade Stadium
Minnesota
Big Ten
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- 5.9
- National rank
- 51
- Proj. wins
- 5.8
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Purdue
Big Ten
- Record
- 1-2
- Rating
- -2.1
- National rank
- 75
- Proj. wins
- 3.9
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Minnesota
66%
Purdue
34%
Purdue 90% CI: 26% – 43% Δ rating 8.0
Minnesota is the model's favorite at 66%. Purdue has a 34% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.6 rating points baked in for Purdue — venue-specific learned value (n=59 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Minnesota offense
48 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Purdue offense
41 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Conditions
Mainly clear
Temperature
45°F
Precipitation
5%
Wind
3 mph
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 10, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Ross-Ade Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No