2026 Week 6 · Neutral site
Ball State at Northwestern
Friday, October 9, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
Ryan Field
Ball State
Mid-American
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -23.0
- National rank
- 132
- Proj. wins
- 2.9
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Northwestern
Big Ten
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 5.8
- National rank
- 51
- Proj. wins
- 5.2
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Ball State
3%
Northwestern
97%
Northwestern 90% CI: 96% – 98% Δ rating 28.8
Northwestern is the model's favorite at 97%. Ball State has a 3% path. No home-field adjustment applied (neutral site).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Ball State offense
38 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Northwestern offense
40 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast for neutral-site venues will arrive once the venues table ships (#53).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, October 9, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
- Venue
- Ryan Field
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- Yes