2026 Week 6
Ball State at Northwestern
Saturday, October 10, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Ryan Field
Ball State
Mid-American
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -23.0
- National rank
- 132
- Proj. wins
- 2.8
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Northwestern
Big Ten
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 5.8
- National rank
- 51
- Proj. wins
- 5.5
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Ball State
2%
Northwestern
98%
Northwestern 90% CI: 97% – 99% Δ rating 28.8
Northwestern is the model's favorite at 98%. Ball State has a 2% path. League-prior home-field adjustment of +2.5 rating points baked in for Northwestern.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Ball State offense
38 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Northwestern offense
40 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 10, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Ryan Field
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No