2026 Week 4 · Conference game
Minnesota at Washington
Friday, September 25, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
Husky Stadium
Minnesota
Big Ten
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 1.5
- National rank
- 70
- Proj. wins
- 5.4
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Washington
Big Ten
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 18.4
- National rank
- 13
- Proj. wins
- 7.9
- Playoff prob.
- 33%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Minnesota
9%
Washington
91%
Washington 90% CI: 88% – 94% Δ rating 16.9
Washington is the model's favorite at 91%. Minnesota has a 9% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.1 rating points baked in for Washington — venue-specific learned value (n=57 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Minnesota offense
33 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Washington offense
40 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, September 25, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
- Venue
- Husky Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No