2026 Week 4 · Conference game
Minnesota at Washington
Sunday, September 27, 2026 · 3:00 AM UTC
Husky Stadium
Minnesota
Big Ten
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- 5.9
- National rank
- 51
- Proj. wins
- 5.8
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Washington
Big Ten
- Record
- 3-0
- Rating
- 12.8
- National rank
- 27
- Proj. wins
- 7.6
- Playoff prob.
- 10%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Minnesota
25%
Washington
75%
Washington 90% CI: 68% – 82% Δ rating 6.9
Washington is the model's favorite at 75%. Minnesota has a 25% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.1 rating points baked in for Washington — venue-specific learned value (n=57 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Minnesota offense
33 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Washington offense
40 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Conditions
Overcast
Temperature
49°F
Precipitation
0%
Wind
5 mph
Game info
- Kickoff
- Sunday, September 27, 2026 · 3:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Husky Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No