2026 Week 4
Notre Dame at Purdue
Saturday, September 26, 2026 · 6:00 PM UTC
Ross-Ade Stadium
Notre Dame
FBS Independents
- Record
- 3-0
- Rating
- 26.7
- National rank
- 3
- Proj. wins
- 9.1
- Playoff prob.
- 58%
Purdue
Big Ten
- Record
- 1-2
- Rating
- -2.1
- National rank
- 75
- Proj. wins
- 3.9
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Notre Dame
96%
Purdue
4%
Purdue 90% CI: 3% – 5% Δ rating 28.8
Notre Dame is the model's favorite at 96%. Purdue has a 4% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.6 rating points baked in for Purdue — venue-specific learned value (n=59 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Notre Dame offense
45 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Purdue offense
32 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Conditions
Clear
Temperature
68°F
Precipitation
0%
Wind
7 mph
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, September 26, 2026 · 6:00 PM UTC
- Venue
- Ross-Ade Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No