2026 Week 4
Notre Dame at Purdue
Friday, September 25, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
Ross-Ade Stadium
Notre Dame
FBS Independents
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 24.4
- National rank
- 5
- Proj. wins
- 10.1
- Playoff prob.
- 94%
Purdue
Big Ten
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -6.1
- National rank
- 90
- Proj. wins
- 3.5
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Notre Dame
97%
Purdue
3%
Purdue 90% CI: 2% – 4% Δ rating 30.5
Notre Dame is the model's favorite at 97%. Purdue has a 3% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.6 rating points baked in for Purdue — venue-specific learned value (n=59 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Notre Dame offense
45 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Purdue offense
32 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, September 25, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
- Venue
- Ross-Ade Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No