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2026 Week 1 · Neutral site

Notre Dame at Wisconsin

Saturday, September 5, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT

Lambeau Field

Notre Dame
FBS Independents
Record
0-0
Rating
24.4
National rank
5
Proj. wins
10.1
Playoff prob.
94%
Wisconsin
Big Ten
Record
0-0
Rating
-4.4
National rank
85
Proj. wins
4.6
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Notre Dame
97%
Wisconsin
3%
Wisconsin 90% CI: 2% – 4% Δ rating 28.8

Notre Dame is the model's favorite at 97%. Wisconsin has a 3% path. No home-field adjustment applied (neutral site).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Notre Dame offense
34 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Wisconsin offense
27 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Forecast for neutral-site venues will arrive once the venues table ships (#53).

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, September 5, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
Venue
Lambeau Field
Conference game
No
Neutral site
Yes

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