Marshall at Penn State
Saturday, September 5, 2026 · 3:30 PM EDT
Final score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Marshall | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 Penn State Winner | 17 | 7 | 14 | 7 | 45 |
GIE pre-game call: Penn State at 95%. Hit
Pre-game
GIE win probability
Marshall 5% Underdog
Penn State 95% Favorite
Penn State is the model's favorite at 95%. Marshall has a 5% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.1 rating points baked in for Penn State — venue-specific learned value (n=63 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Recaps
- Penn State recap Penn State: 2026 Week 12 recap Penn State sits at 38th overall with a 5–4 record after stealing a road win at Washington in Week 10. The rating hasn't budged since last week—GIE still has them at 9.3—but the victory itself matters more than the number shift. What's…
- Marshall recap Marshall: 2026 Week 12 recap Marshall sits at rank 117 with a 5–4 record after a brutal 49–13 loss to Georgia Southern in Week 10 that dropped their GIE rating 1.7 points to –12.4. The damage reflects deeper offensive struggles: a red-zone touchdown rate of just 11%…