2026 Week 1 FINAL
Marshall at Penn State
Saturday, September 5, 2026 · 7:30 PM UTC
Beaver Stadium
0
Marshall
Final
45
Penn State
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marshall | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Penn State | 17 | 7 | 14 | 7 | 45 |
GIE pre-game call: Penn State at 98%. Hit.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.
Marshall
Sun Belt
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- -11.0
- National rank
- 110
- Proj. wins
- 6.8
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Penn State
Big Ten
- Record
- 3-0
- Rating
- 19.1
- National rank
- 12
- Proj. wins
- 8.8
- Playoff prob.
- 50%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Marshall
2%
Penn State
98%
Penn State 90% CI: 97% – 99% Δ rating 30.1
Penn State is the model's favorite at 98%. Marshall has a 2% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.0 rating points baked in for Penn State — venue-specific learned value (n=65 games).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, September 5, 2026 · 7:30 PM UTC
- Venue
- Beaver Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No