2026 Week 1
North Texas at Indiana
Friday, September 4, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN)
North Texas
American Athletic
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 13.8
- National rank
- 22
- Proj. wins
- 8.5
- Playoff prob.
- 13%
Indiana
Big Ten
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 32.4
- National rank
- 1
- Proj. wins
- 10.1
- Playoff prob.
- 100%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
North Texas
7%
Indiana
93%
Indiana 90% CI: 91% – 95% Δ rating 18.6
Indiana is the model's favorite at 93%. North Texas has a 7% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.6 rating points baked in for Indiana — venue-specific learned value (n=56 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
North Texas offense
31 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Indiana offense
38 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, September 4, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
- Venue
- Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN)
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No