2026 Week 13 · Conference game
SMU at Stanford
Saturday, November 28, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
Stanford Stadium
SMU
ACC
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- 12.0
- National rank
- 29
- Proj. wins
- 7.5
- Playoff prob.
- 3%
Stanford
ACC
- Record
- 1-2
- Rating
- -7.4
- National rank
- 100
- Proj. wins
- 3.5
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
SMU
87%
Stanford
13%
Stanford 90% CI: 9% – 17% Δ rating 19.4
SMU is the model's favorite at 87%. Stanford has a 13% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.9 rating points baked in for Stanford — venue-specific learned value (n=53 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
SMU offense
38 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Stanford offense
34 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 28, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Stanford Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No