2026 Week 13 · Conference game
Pittsburgh at California
Saturday, November 28, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
California Memorial Stadium
Pittsburgh
ACC
- Record
- 3-0
- Rating
- 10.4
- National rank
- 37
- Proj. wins
- 8.3
- Playoff prob.
- 14%
California
ACC
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- 0.8
- National rank
- 67
- Proj. wins
- 6.1
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Pittsburgh
64%
California
36%
California 90% CI: 28% – 45% Δ rating 9.6
Pittsburgh is the model's favorite at 64%. California has a 36% path. Home-field adjustment of +5.1 rating points baked in for California — venue-specific learned value (n=51 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Pittsburgh offense
36 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
California offense
37 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 28, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- California Memorial Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No