Search 4thand4cast

Search the site.

Try , , or .

Powered by Pagefind
Conference game

Boston College at Miami

Saturday, November 28, 2026 · 12:00 AM EST

GIE win probability

Boston College 2% Underdog
Miami 98% Favorite
Miami 90% CI
97–98%
Δ rating
Miami +29.4

Miami is the model's favorite at 98%. Boston College has a 2% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.0 rating points baked in for Miami — venue-specific learned value (n=55 games).

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Boston College offense 35 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
Miami offense Higher fit 44 / 100 Style-neutral matchup