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2026 Week 9 · Conference game

Stanford at Louisville

Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC

L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium

Stanford
ACC
Record
1-2
Rating
-7.4
National rank
100
Proj. wins
3.5
Playoff prob.
0%
Louisville
ACC
Record
2-1
Rating
13.3
National rank
25
Proj. wins
7.5
Playoff prob.
9%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Stanford
4%
Louisville
96%
Louisville 90% CI: 94% – 97% Δ rating 20.7

Louisville is the model's favorite at 96%. Stanford has a 4% path. Home-field adjustment of +4.3 rating points baked in for Louisville — venue-specific learned value (n=58 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Stanford offense
29 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Louisville offense
37 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Venue
L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No
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