4thand4cast

Search the site.

Try , , or .

Powered by Pagefind

2026 Week 9 · Conference game

Boston College at Duke

Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC

Wallace Wade Stadium

Boston College
ACC
Record
2-1
Rating
-4.9
National rank
85
Proj. wins
5.2
Playoff prob.
0%
Duke
ACC
Record
3-0
Rating
7.0
National rank
46
Proj. wins
8.4
Playoff prob.
11%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Boston College
17%
Duke
83%
Duke 90% CI: 77% – 88% Δ rating 11.9

Duke is the model's favorite at 83%. Boston College has a 17% path. Home-field adjustment of +0.7 rating points baked in for Duke — venue-specific learned value (n=53 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Boston College offense
44 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Duke offense
45 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Venue
Wallace Wade Stadium
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No
Share

← Home