2026 Week 9 · Conference game
California at NC State
Thursday, October 29, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
Carter-Finley Stadium
California
ACC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -3.2
- National rank
- 80
- Proj. wins
- 5.3
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
NC State
ACC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 4.8
- National rank
- 55
- Proj. wins
- 7.0
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
California
19%
NC State
81%
NC State 90% CI: 75% – 86% Δ rating 8.0
NC State is the model's favorite at 81%. California has a 19% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.7 rating points baked in for NC State — venue-specific learned value (n=59 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
California offense
40 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
NC State offense
35 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Thursday, October 29, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
- Venue
- Carter-Finley Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No