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Conference game

California at SMU

Saturday, October 24, 2026 · 12:00 PM EDT

Final score

Final score by period
Team 1234 T
California 71300 20
SMU Winner 1072121 59

GIE pre-game call: SMU at 98%. Hit

Pre-game

GIE win probability

California 2% Underdog
SMU 98% Favorite
SMU 90% CI
97–99%
Δ rating
SMU +27.2

SMU is the model's favorite at 98%. California has a 2% path. Home-field adjustment of +4.9 rating points baked in for SMU — venue-specific learned value (n=51 games).

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Recaps

Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.