2026 Week 7 · Conference game
Louisville at Syracuse
Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
JMA Wireless Dome
Louisville
ACC
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- 13.3
- National rank
- 25
- Proj. wins
- 7.5
- Playoff prob.
- 9%
Syracuse
ACC
- Record
- 1-2
- Rating
- -0.2
- National rank
- 69
- Proj. wins
- 4.1
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Louisville
80%
Syracuse
20%
Syracuse 90% CI: 15% – 27% Δ rating 13.5
Louisville is the model's favorite at 80%. Syracuse has a 20% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.4 rating points baked in for Syracuse — venue-specific learned value (n=55 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Louisville offense
44 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Syracuse offense
29 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- JMA Wireless Dome
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No