2026 Week 4
Central Michigan at Miami
Friday, September 25, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
Hard Rock Stadium
Central Michigan
Mid-American
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -8.8
- National rank
- 100
- Proj. wins
- 5.4
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Miami
ACC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 20.7
- National rank
- 9
- Proj. wins
- 9.4
- Playoff prob.
- 61%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Central Michigan
2%
Miami
98%
Miami 90% CI: 97% – 98% Δ rating 29.5
Miami is the model's favorite at 98%. Central Michigan has a 2% path. Home-field adjustment of +0.8 rating points baked in for Miami — venue-specific learned value (n=57 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Central Michigan offense
28 / 100
Run offense vs. elite run defense — bad matchup
Miami offense
37 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, September 25, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
- Venue
- Hard Rock Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No