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2026 Week 2 FINAL

Duke at Illinois

Saturday, September 12, 2026 · 7:30 PM UTC

Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL)

31
Duke
Final
27
Illinois
Team 1234 T
Duke 71473 31
Illinois 101430 27

GIE pre-game call: Illinois at 61%. Miss.

Recaps

Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.

Duke
ACC
Record
3-0
Rating
7.0
National rank
46
Proj. wins
8.4
Playoff prob.
11%
Illinois
Big Ten
Record
2-1
Rating
11.1
National rank
33
Proj. wins
6.3
Playoff prob.
2%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Duke
39%
Illinois
61%
Illinois 90% CI: 52% – 70% Δ rating 4.1

Illinois is the model's favorite at 61%. Duke has a 39% path. Home-field adjustment of +-0.4 rating points baked in for Illinois — venue-specific learned value (n=60 games).

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, September 12, 2026 · 7:30 PM UTC
Venue
Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL)
Conference game
No
Neutral site
No
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