2026 Week 1
Miami (OH) at Pittsburgh
Friday, September 4, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
Acrisure Stadium
Miami (OH)
Mid-American
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -3.4
- National rank
- 82
- Proj. wins
- 6.7
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Pittsburgh
ACC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 8.4
- National rank
- 36
- Proj. wins
- 7.8
- Playoff prob.
- 3%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Miami (OH)
15%
Pittsburgh
85%
Pittsburgh 90% CI: 79% – 89% Δ rating 11.8
Pittsburgh is the model's favorite at 85%. Miami (OH) has a 15% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.8 rating points baked in for Pittsburgh — venue-specific learned value (n=57 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Miami (OH) offense
31 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Pittsburgh offense
36 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, September 4, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
- Venue
- Acrisure Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No