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2026 Week 1 FINAL · Conference game

NC State at Virginia

Saturday, August 29, 2026 · 7:30 PM UTC

Scott Stadium

8
NC State
Final
34
Virginia
Team 1234 T
NC State 0080 8
Virginia 107710 34

GIE pre-game call: Virginia at 73%. Hit.

Recaps

Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.

NC State
ACC
Record
1-2
Rating
5.0
National rank
57
Proj. wins
6.0
Playoff prob.
0%
Virginia
ACC
Record
2-1
Rating
10.5
National rank
36
Proj. wins
6.7
Playoff prob.
1%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

NC State
27%
Virginia
73%
Virginia 90% CI: 65% – 80% Δ rating 5.5

Virginia is the model's favorite at 73%. NC State has a 27% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.4 rating points baked in for Virginia — venue-specific learned value (n=54 games).

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, August 29, 2026 · 7:30 PM UTC
Venue
Scott Stadium
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No
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