2026 Week 1 · Conference game
NC State at Virginia
Saturday, August 29, 2026 · 7:30 PM UTC
Scott Stadium
NC State
ACC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 4.8
- National rank
- 55
- Proj. wins
- 6.8
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Virginia
ACC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 11.1
- National rank
- 31
- Proj. wins
- 8.6
- Playoff prob.
- 9%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
NC State
25%
Virginia
75%
Virginia 90% CI: 67% – 81% Δ rating 6.3
Virginia is the model's favorite at 75%. NC State has a 25% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.4 rating points baked in for Virginia — venue-specific learned value (n=54 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
NC State offense
33 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Virginia offense
38 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, August 29, 2026 · 7:30 PM UTC
- Venue
- Scott Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No