2026 Week 11 · Conference game
Florida at Kentucky
Friday, November 13, 2026 · 11:00 PM CST
Kroger Field
Florida
SEC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 3.5
- National rank
- 63
- Proj. wins
- 4.4
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Kentucky
SEC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 1.8
- National rank
- 66
- Proj. wins
- 4.5
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Florida
46%
Kentucky
54%
Kentucky 90% CI: 45% – 63% Δ rating 1.7
Kentucky is the model's favorite at 54%. Florida has a 46% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.0 rating points baked in for Kentucky — venue-specific learned value (n=62 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Florida offense
39 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Kentucky offense
38 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, November 13, 2026 · 11:00 PM CST
- Venue
- Kroger Field
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No