Conference game
Texas Tech at Baylor
Saturday, November 21, 2026 · 12:00 AM EST
GIE win probability
Texas Tech 62% Favorite
Baylor 38% Underdog
Texas Tech is the model's favorite at 62%. Baylor has a 38% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.0 rating points baked in for Baylor — venue-specific learned value (n=53 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Texas Tech offense
Higher fit 40 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
Baylor offense
27 / 100 Style-neutral matchup