2026 Week 9 · Conference game
Baylor at UCF
Friday, October 30, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
FBC Mortgage Stadium
Baylor
Big 12
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 1.4
- National rank
- 71
- Proj. wins
- 5.1
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
UCF
Big 12
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -1.2
- National rank
- 76
- Proj. wins
- 5.6
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Baylor
47%
UCF
53%
UCF 90% CI: 44% – 62% Δ rating 2.6
UCF is the model's favorite at 53%. Baylor has a 47% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.6 rating points baked in for UCF — venue-specific learned value (n=56 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Baylor offense
36 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
UCF offense
40 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, October 30, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
- Venue
- FBC Mortgage Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No