2026 Week 9 · Conference game
Arizona State at BYU
Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
LaVell Edwards Stadium
Arizona State
Big 12
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- 5.3
- National rank
- 55
- Proj. wins
- 6.6
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
BYU
Big 12
- Record
- 3-0
- Rating
- 17.5
- National rank
- 17
- Proj. wins
- 8.5
- Playoff prob.
- 48%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Arizona State
13%
BYU
87%
BYU 90% CI: 82% – 90% Δ rating 12.2
BYU is the model's favorite at 87%. Arizona State has a 13% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.8 rating points baked in for BYU — venue-specific learned value (n=52 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Arizona State offense
35 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
BYU offense
32 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- LaVell Edwards Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No