2026 Week 8 · Conference game
Iowa State at Arizona
Saturday, October 24, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Arizona Stadium
Iowa State
Big 12
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- 5.8
- National rank
- 52
- Proj. wins
- 6.2
- Playoff prob.
- 2%
Arizona
Big 12
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- 9.8
- National rank
- 38
- Proj. wins
- 6.0
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Iowa State
27%
Arizona
73%
Arizona 90% CI: 65% – 79% Δ rating 4.0
Arizona is the model's favorite at 73%. Iowa State has a 27% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.8 rating points baked in for Arizona — venue-specific learned value (n=53 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Iowa State offense
30 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Arizona offense
36 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 24, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Arizona Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No