2026 Week 5 · Conference game
West Virginia at Iowa State
Friday, October 2, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
Jack Trice Stadium
West Virginia
Big 12
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -6.8
- National rank
- 93
- Proj. wins
- 4.0
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Iowa State
Big 12
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 9.9
- National rank
- 33
- Proj. wins
- 7.2
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
West Virginia
5%
Iowa State
95%
Iowa State 90% CI: 93% – 97% Δ rating 16.7
Iowa State is the model's favorite at 95%. West Virginia has a 5% path. Home-field adjustment of +6.9 rating points baked in for Iowa State — venue-specific learned value (n=56 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
West Virginia offense
33 / 100
Run offense vs. elite run defense — bad matchup
Iowa State offense
36 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, October 2, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
- Venue
- Jack Trice Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No