2026 Week 4 · Conference game
Utah at Iowa State
Friday, September 25, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
Jack Trice Stadium
Utah
Big 12
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 22.2
- National rank
- 8
- Proj. wins
- 9.4
- Playoff prob.
- 74%
Iowa State
Big 12
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 9.9
- National rank
- 33
- Proj. wins
- 7.2
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Utah
66%
Iowa State
34%
Iowa State 90% CI: 26% – 43% Δ rating 12.3
Utah is the model's favorite at 66%. Iowa State has a 34% path. Home-field adjustment of +6.9 rating points baked in for Iowa State — venue-specific learned value (n=56 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Utah offense
34 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Iowa State offense
39 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, September 25, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
- Venue
- Jack Trice Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No