2026 Week 4 · Conference game
Colorado at Baylor
Saturday, September 26, 2026 · 4:00 PM UTC
McLane Stadium
Colorado
Big 12
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- -1.2
- National rank
- 72
- Proj. wins
- 5.2
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Baylor
Big 12
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- 6.8
- National rank
- 48
- Proj. wins
- 6.7
- Playoff prob.
- 4%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Colorado
25%
Baylor
75%
Baylor 90% CI: 68% – 82% Δ rating 8.0
Baylor is the model's favorite at 75%. Colorado has a 25% path. Home-field adjustment of +0.9 rating points baked in for Baylor — venue-specific learned value (n=54 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Colorado offense
39 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Baylor offense
44 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Conditions
Overcast
Temperature
96°F
Precipitation
2%
Wind
3 mph
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, September 26, 2026 · 4:00 PM UTC
- Venue
- McLane Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No