2026 Week 4 · Conference game
Colorado at Baylor
Friday, September 25, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
McLane Stadium
Colorado
Big 12
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -8.3
- National rank
- 96
- Proj. wins
- 3.3
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Baylor
Big 12
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 1.4
- National rank
- 71
- Proj. wins
- 5.1
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Colorado
21%
Baylor
79%
Baylor 90% CI: 72% – 85% Δ rating 9.7
Baylor is the model's favorite at 79%. Colorado has a 21% path. Home-field adjustment of +0.9 rating points baked in for Baylor — venue-specific learned value (n=54 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Colorado offense
39 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Baylor offense
44 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, September 25, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
- Venue
- McLane Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No