2026 Week 4
Arizona at Washington State
Saturday, September 26, 2026 · 11:30 PM UTC
Gesa Field
Arizona
Big 12
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- 9.8
- National rank
- 38
- Proj. wins
- 6.0
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
Washington State
Pac-12
- Record
- 1-2
- Rating
- -5.6
- National rank
- 88
- Proj. wins
- 4.7
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Arizona
77%
Washington State
23%
Washington State 90% CI: 17% – 30% Δ rating 15.4
Arizona is the model's favorite at 77%. Washington State has a 23% path. Home-field adjustment of +5.8 rating points baked in for Washington State — venue-specific learned value (n=51 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Arizona offense
34 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Washington State offense
31 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Conditions
Clear
Temperature
48°F
Precipitation
0%
Wind
6 mph
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, September 26, 2026 · 11:30 PM UTC
- Venue
- Gesa Field
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No