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2026 Week 3 FINAL

Bowling Green at Iowa State

Saturday, September 19, 2026 · 4:00 PM UTC

Jack Trice Stadium

7
Bowling Green
Final
55
Iowa State
Team 1234 T
Bowling Green 7000 7
Iowa State 21141010 55

GIE pre-game call: Iowa State at 99%. Hit.

Recaps

Bowling Green
Mid-American
Record
0-3
Rating
-22.0
National rank
134
Proj. wins
3.0
Playoff prob.
0%
Iowa State
Big 12
Record
2-1
Rating
5.8
National rank
52
Proj. wins
6.2
Playoff prob.
2%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Bowling Green
1%
Iowa State
99%
Iowa State 90% CI: 98% – 99% Δ rating 27.8

Iowa State is the model's favorite at 99%. Bowling Green has a 1% path. Home-field adjustment of +6.9 rating points baked in for Iowa State — venue-specific learned value (n=56 games).

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, September 19, 2026 · 4:00 PM UTC
Venue
Jack Trice Stadium
Conference game
No
Neutral site
No
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