Conference game
Vanderbilt at Florida
Saturday, November 21, 2026 · 12:00 AM EST
GIE win probability
Vanderbilt 19% Underdog
Florida 81% Favorite
Florida is the model's favorite at 81%. Vanderbilt has a 19% path. Home-field adjustment of +4.0 rating points baked in for Florida — venue-specific learned value (n=50 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Vanderbilt offense
Higher fit 40 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
Florida offense
37 / 100 Style-neutral matchup