2026 Week 10 · Conference game
Vanderbilt at Mississippi State
Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
Davis Wade Stadium
Vanderbilt
SEC
- Record
- 3-0
- Rating
- 9.7
- National rank
- 39
- Proj. wins
- 7.5
- Playoff prob.
- 15%
Mississippi State
SEC
- Record
- 3-0
- Rating
- 12.0
- National rank
- 29
- Proj. wins
- 8.4
- Playoff prob.
- 51%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Vanderbilt
35%
Mississippi State
65%
Mississippi State 90% CI: 57% – 73% Δ rating 2.3
Mississippi State is the model's favorite at 65%. Vanderbilt has a 35% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.8 rating points baked in for Mississippi State — venue-specific learned value (n=59 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Vanderbilt offense
41 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Mississippi State offense
36 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Davis Wade Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No