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2026 Week 10 · Conference game

Arkansas at Auburn

Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC

Jordan-Hare Stadium

Arkansas
SEC
Record
1-2
Rating
-0.3
National rank
70
Proj. wins
3.7
Playoff prob.
0%
Auburn
SEC
Record
2-1
Rating
11.6
National rank
31
Proj. wins
5.8
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Arkansas
13%
Auburn
87%
Auburn 90% CI: 82% – 91% Δ rating 11.9

Auburn is the model's favorite at 87%. Arkansas has a 13% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.3 rating points baked in for Auburn — venue-specific learned value (n=62 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Arkansas offense
31 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Auburn offense
45 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
Venue
Jordan-Hare Stadium
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No
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