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2026 Week 10 · Conference game

Arkansas at Auburn

Friday, November 6, 2026 · 11:00 PM CST

Jordan-Hare Stadium

Arkansas
SEC
Record
0-0
Rating
5.1
National rank
53
Proj. wins
4.6
Playoff prob.
0%
Auburn
SEC
Record
0-0
Rating
11.6
National rank
29
Proj. wins
6.5
Playoff prob.
2%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Arkansas
23%
Auburn
77%
Auburn 90% CI: 70% – 83% Δ rating 6.5

Auburn is the model's favorite at 77%. Arkansas has a 23% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.3 rating points baked in for Auburn — venue-specific learned value (n=62 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Arkansas offense
31 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Auburn offense
45 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.

Game info

Kickoff
Friday, November 6, 2026 · 11:00 PM CST
Venue
Jordan-Hare Stadium
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No

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