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2026 Week 9 · Conference game · Neutral site

Florida at Georgia

Friday, October 30, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT

Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Florida
SEC
Record
0-0
Rating
3.5
National rank
63
Proj. wins
4.4
Playoff prob.
0%
Georgia
SEC
Record
0-0
Rating
24.1
National rank
6
Proj. wins
8.8
Playoff prob.
82%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Florida
7%
Georgia
93%
Georgia 90% CI: 90% – 95% Δ rating 20.6

Georgia is the model's favorite at 93%. Florida has a 7% path. No home-field adjustment applied (neutral site).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Florida offense
29 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Georgia offense
36 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Forecast for neutral-site venues will arrive once the venues table ships (#53).

Game info

Kickoff
Friday, October 30, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
Venue
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
Yes

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