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2026 Week 9 · Conference game · Neutral site

Florida at Georgia

Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 7:30 PM UTC

Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Florida
SEC
Record
3-0
Rating
17.8
National rank
15
Proj. wins
8.3
Playoff prob.
46%
Georgia
SEC
Record
3-0
Rating
28.2
National rank
2
Proj. wins
8.6
Playoff prob.
56%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Florida
21%
Georgia
79%
Georgia 90% CI: 72% – 84% Δ rating 10.4

Georgia is the model's favorite at 79%. Florida has a 21% path. No home-field adjustment applied (neutral site).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Florida offense
29 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Georgia offense
36 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Forecast for neutral-site venues will arrive once the venues table ships (#53).

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 7:30 PM UTC
Venue
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
Yes
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