2026 Week 6 · Conference game
LSU at Kentucky
Friday, October 9, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
Kroger Field
LSU
SEC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 10.3
- National rank
- 32
- Proj. wins
- 6.2
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
Kentucky
SEC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 1.8
- National rank
- 66
- Proj. wins
- 4.5
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
LSU
67%
Kentucky
33%
Kentucky 90% CI: 26% – 42% Δ rating 8.5
LSU is the model's favorite at 67%. Kentucky has a 33% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.0 rating points baked in for Kentucky — venue-specific learned value (n=62 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
LSU offense
41 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Kentucky offense
32 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, October 9, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
- Venue
- Kroger Field
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No