2026 Week 6 · Conference game
LSU at Kentucky
Saturday, October 10, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Kroger Field
LSU
SEC
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- 20.3
- National rank
- 9
- Proj. wins
- 6.7
- Playoff prob.
- 3%
Kentucky
SEC
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- 6.5
- National rank
- 49
- Proj. wins
- 5.9
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
LSU
79%
Kentucky
21%
Kentucky 90% CI: 15% – 27% Δ rating 13.8
LSU is the model's favorite at 79%. Kentucky has a 21% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.0 rating points baked in for Kentucky — venue-specific learned value (n=62 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
LSU offense
41 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Kentucky offense
32 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Conditions
Overcast
Temperature
40°F
Precipitation
6%
Wind
3 mph
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 10, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Kroger Field
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No