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2026 Week 4 · Conference game

Texas A&M at LSU

Friday, September 25, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT

Tiger Stadium (LA)

Texas A&M
SEC
Record
0-0
Rating
20.7
National rank
9
Proj. wins
8.5
Playoff prob.
55%
LSU
SEC
Record
0-0
Rating
10.3
National rank
32
Proj. wins
6.2
Playoff prob.
1%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Texas A&M
72%
LSU
28%
LSU 90% CI: 21% – 37% Δ rating 10.4

Texas A&M is the model's favorite at 72%. LSU has a 28% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.0 rating points baked in for LSU — venue-specific learned value (n=58 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Texas A&M offense
32 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

LSU offense
37 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.

Game info

Kickoff
Friday, September 25, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
Venue
Tiger Stadium (LA)
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No

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