2026 Week 4 · Conference game
Texas A&M at LSU
Saturday, September 26, 2026 · 11:30 PM UTC
Tiger Stadium (LA)
Texas A&M
SEC
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- 18.3
- National rank
- 14
- Proj. wins
- 6.3
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
LSU
SEC
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- 20.3
- National rank
- 9
- Proj. wins
- 6.7
- Playoff prob.
- 3%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Texas A&M
29%
LSU
71%
LSU 90% CI: 63% – 78% Δ rating 2.0
LSU is the model's favorite at 71%. Texas A&M has a 29% path. Home-field adjustment of +5.2 rating points baked in for LSU — venue-specific night-game value (n=58 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Texas A&M offense
32 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
LSU offense
37 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Conditions
Overcast
Temperature
77°F
Precipitation
0%
Wind
4 mph
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, September 26, 2026 · 11:30 PM UTC
- Venue
- Tiger Stadium (LA)
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No