2026 Week 3
NC State at Vanderbilt
Friday, September 18, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
FirstBank Stadium
NC State
ACC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 4.8
- National rank
- 55
- Proj. wins
- 7.0
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
Vanderbilt
SEC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 20.3
- National rank
- 11
- Proj. wins
- 8.4
- Playoff prob.
- 52%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
NC State
9%
Vanderbilt
91%
Vanderbilt 90% CI: 88% – 94% Δ rating 15.5
Vanderbilt is the model's favorite at 91%. NC State has a 9% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.2 rating points baked in for Vanderbilt — venue-specific learned value (n=57 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
NC State offense
37 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Vanderbilt offense
39 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, September 18, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
- Venue
- FirstBank Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No