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2026 Week 3 FINAL

NC State at Vanderbilt

Saturday, September 19, 2026 · 4:45 PM UTC

FirstBank Stadium

31
NC State
Final
35
Vanderbilt
Team 1234 T
NC State 14377 31
Vanderbilt 07721 35

GIE pre-game call: Vanderbilt at 73%. Hit.

Recaps

NC State
ACC
Record
1-2
Rating
5.0
National rank
57
Proj. wins
6.0
Playoff prob.
0%
Vanderbilt
SEC
Record
3-0
Rating
9.7
National rank
39
Proj. wins
7.5
Playoff prob.
15%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

NC State
27%
Vanderbilt
73%
Vanderbilt 90% CI: 65% – 80% Δ rating 4.7

Vanderbilt is the model's favorite at 73%. NC State has a 27% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.2 rating points baked in for Vanderbilt — venue-specific learned value (n=57 games).

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, September 19, 2026 · 4:45 PM UTC
Venue
FirstBank Stadium
Conference game
No
Neutral site
No
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